| If you answered YES to any of these questions,
you are engaging in active investing and can benefit
greatly from this 12-Step Program. If you answered NO to all questions, you are
well on your way towards understanding the benefits
of a diversified portfolio of index funds, which
is the basis of Index Funds Investing.
If you keep reading, you will soon understand
the wisdom of index funds, how much wealth you
may have lost in the past, and how much you
can accumulate if you learn how to change the
way you invest. Let's
start!
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Step1-Quotes |
"Properly measured,
the average actively managed dollar must underperform
the average passively managed dollar, net
of costs. Empirical analyses that appear to
refute this principle are guilty of improper
measurement."
William F. Sharpe, Nobel Laureate in Economics,
1990, The Arithmetic of Active Management,
The Financial Analysts' Journal Vol. 47, No.
1, January/February 1991. pp. 7-9. |
"Most investors
are pretty smart. Yet most investors also
remain heavily invested in actively managed
stock funds. This is puzzling. The temptation,
of course, is to dismiss these folks as ignorant
fools. But I suspect these folks know the
odds are stacked against them, and yet they
are more than happy to take their chances."
Jonathan Clements; The Wall Street Journal,
February 27, 2001 |
"The sheer
magnitude of the difference we discovered
between the total returns earned by funds
and the results captured by the average shareholder
is shocking and tragic." [over 4 years:
Funds = 5.7%, Investors = 1%]
Charles Trzcinka, Professor of Finance,
Indiana University. Money Magazine, June 2002. What Fund Investors Really Need to Know,
by Jazon Zweig ( see
1.3.3) |
"Over the 10-year
period ending 2003, 142 of the largest, smartest
pension funds in the USA lost an average 0.3%
per year in their active large cap domestic
equities programs, relative to simply investing
in index funds."
Keith Ambachtsheer, author of The Ambachtsheer
Letter Independence,
p.90 June 8, 2005 |
" The deeper one delves, the
worse things look for actively managed funds."
William Bernstein, The Intelligent Asset
Allocator |
" [ Most
investors would ] be better off in an index
fund."
Peter Lynch, famous stock picker, Barron's,
p. 15, April 2, 1990 |
 |
Step1-Definitions |
What Is
Active Investing?
Active investing is a strategy that investors
use when trying to beat a market or appropriate
benchmark. Active investors commonly engage in
picking stocks, times, managers, or styles. As
later steps demonstrate, active investors who
claim to outperform a market also claim the power
to predict the future. When accurately measured,
this is simply not possible. Surprisingly, the
analytical techniques that active investors use
can best be described as qualitative or speculative.
They include predictions of future sales and earnings
growth, and are often based on gut feelings and
intuition. On the other hand, the passive index
investing approach is best described as quantitative
or scientific. Indexing techniques include statistical
analysis of risk and return data of twenty years
or more, in addition to extensive measurements
of numerous performance criteria. Many indexes
are now based on seventy-five years of risk, return,
and correlation data.
What Is
Index Funds Investing?
As opposed to active managers, investment
managers of index funds are far less active in
the buying and selling of stocks, because they
do not pick stocks or managers, time markets,
pick styles, or make attempts to forecast the
future. As previously mentioned, the analytical
techniques that index funds managers use are best
described as quantitative or scientific.
Approximately seven percent of all
individual assets and thirty percent of all institutional
assets are currently invested in different index
funds. Many institutional funds are one hundred
percent indexed. Even Charles Schwab and Company
recommends that investors put eighty percent of
their large cap assets into index funds. Mr. Schwab
himself has 75% of his mutual funds in index funds.
Other indexing proponents include Barclay's Global
Investors, Dimensional Fund Advisors, The Vanguard
Group, Warren Buffet, Peter Lynch, numerous academic
institutions, Economic Nobel Laureates, and Index
Funds Advisors (IFA). Insurance companies use
a similar approach to indexing when setting premiums
for the risks taken by insuring against thousands
of different random events. Most of those premiums
are also invested in index funds while held in
reserves for the inevitable claim payment.
Most investors believe that index funds investing
means investing in familiar market indexes, such
as the Standard and Poor's 500. S&P 500 funds
are structured with the aim to provide the same
investment performance as the S&P. By holding
all the stocks in the same proportionate amounts
as the S&P index, the fund index represents
about eighty-six percent of the market value of
all U.S. companies, mostly large blue chip stocks.
The problem is that market indexes, such as the
S&P 500, were not originally designed as investment
vehicles.
Since the late 1980's, index funds have expanded
and are based on more discrete customized indexes.
Originally designed for very large pension funds,
institutional-style index funds are meant to capture
various financial risk factors or dimensions of
the market. Exposure to a risk factor such as
company size or value constitutes a risk dimension
of the market. Investors have been compensated
with higher returns for risk exposure to these
risk factors since 1929. These dimensions of the
market can also be referred to as indexes. Indexes
are groups of stocks that have common risk and
return characteristics and comply to specific
and clearly defined sets of rules of ownership.
These groups of stocks include companies from
the United States, foreign companies, and even
emerging markets. There are additional indexes
within these markets, such as value, large value,
small growth, large growth, real estate securities,
and many fixed-income investments, such as short-term
and long-term treasury bonds, municipal bonds,
and corporate bonds. Companies are purchased and
held within the index when they meet the index
parameters. Stocks are sold when they move outside
of these parameters and no longer meet the index
rules.
An example of an index fund is Dimensional Fund
Advisors' (DFA) Micro-Cap index fund, which invests
in securities of U.S. companies whose size (market
capitalization) falls within the smallest 4% of
the total market universe. This includes all stocks
traded on the New York Stock Exchange and the
American Stock Exchange, as well as those listed
in the National Association of Securities Dealers
Automated Quotation Over-the-counter (NASDAQ OTC)
market. Another example would be DFA's Small Cap
Value Fund, which invests in companies ranked
in the lowest eight percent by size, as well as
the highest twenty-fifth percentile by book-to-market
ratio (value).
DFA funds are now available to individual investors
through a small qualified group of registered
investment advisors who have demonstrated their
understanding and commitment to the concepts described
in this 12-Step Program.
The overwhelming majority of investors are active
investors. Extensive research by many academics
and investment professionals has shown that investors
cannot beat a market in the long run with stock,
time, manager, or style picking. It is disconcerting
that about seventy percent of all institutional
money invested in U.S. stocks is still actively
managed.
Active Investors
are Everywhere
Over ninety percent of investors are
active investors. The most popular strategies
in attempting to beat a market include stock,
time, manager, and style picking. Steps 3, 4,
5, and 6 describe these strategies and explain
the futility of all these methods.
Stock pickers try to pick winning stocks rather
than diversify their portfolio.
Market timers, or time pickers, try to make money
off timing the markets. They think they can strategically
pick specific times to get in and out of a market,
believing this approach is more profitable than
a buy-and-hold strategy. Time picking also refers
to the purchase or sale of individual stocks.
Manager pickers buy stock portfolios or mutual
funds managed by the money managers who seem to
have the best recent performance record.
Active Investors are Gamblers
Active investors are deluded that they
are in control. They believe they have a special
understanding of the market, a superior edge over
less knowledgeable investors, and that they are
immune to disaster. The truth is that all investors
can access the same information as professional
money managers through the Internet and many other
sources. Still, many investors believe they are
smarter and more sophisticated than the average
investor. Those under this illusion fail to realize
just how much investment performance depends on
luck. Most of them eventually pay dearly for this
mistake.
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